Visit the national academies press online, the authoritative source. Nuclear deterrence is a far less persuasive strategic response to a world of. In a lot of ways, a discussion on persuasion and influence could begin and end with carnegies book. How do you persuade the other guy to give in, when. How to use 10 psychological theories to persuade people.
A catalogue record for this book is available from the british library. Deterrence in the twentyfirst century department of defense. It is based on the theory that criminals engage in a rational thought process prior to committing a crime. Together, these theorists protested against the legal policies that had dominated european thought for. Its whole aim should be to scare people straightthose who have engaged in crime specific deterrence and those who are thinking about committing crime general deterrence. The validity of deterrence in the twentyfirst century rusi. Deterrence is when the fear of punishment influences people to obey the laws. What would an effective cyber deterrence theory require. Whether explicitly or implicitly, deterrence centric philosophy serves as the. The central concepts and propositions in eachfear of legal punishment in deterrence theory and the rewardcost balance or expected utility function in ra tional choice theory are subsumable under the more general dif. In the process, as will be argued, history strongly suggests that aggressor motivations are varied and.
Written in a clear and accessible style that assumes no specific technical background in evaluation methods, the third model has been utterly revised to reflect developments in persuasion analysis. Modern deterrence theories were conceived in the aftermath of world war i. Deterrence theory s central hypotheses are that crime can be prevented when punishment is certain, severe, and quick. It has been used to explain why a higher certainty of getting caught reduces the incidences of. Yet classical deterrence theorists, of either the structural or decisiontheoretic persuasion. However, certain comments about deterrence theory and deterrence. Theory and research, third model is an entire overview of socialscientific idea and evaluation on persuasion. Richard smoke have written, deterrence is simply the persuasion of ones. Dissuasion comprises all forms of persuasion, including reassurance and inducement, that would cause an adversary not to follow. Neither deterrence nor rational choice theory is a general or complete model of criminal behavior. Rational choice, deterrence, and social learning theory in. Deterrence theorys central hypotheses are that crime can be prevented when punishment is certain, severe, and quick.
Learn deterrence theory with free interactive flashcards. Concern started with the fact that since deterrence seeks to persuade an opponent who has a. Whether explicitly or implicitly, deterrencecentric philosophy serves as the. Deterrence theory says that people will obey the law if the punishment is swift, certain and severe. Choose from 95 different sets of deterrence theory flashcards on quizlet. Deterrence theory is the idea that an inferior force, by virtue of the destructive power of the. Keith paynes the great american gamble is one of the most significant studies of nuclear deterrence in many years.
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